YEARLY HIGH
2.7113 SCR
YEARLY LOW
1.5880 SCR
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.0195 SCR

2021 MOP to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the MOP to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 10, valuing the pair at 2.7113. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 8, dropping to 1.5880.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.1233 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.6573 to the December average rate of 1.6768, the exchange rate registered a net change of -36.90% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 2.7113 was up 1.92% compared to the 2020 peak of 2.6603, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 13,556 SCR
2020 Average 10,745 SCR
Yearly Trough Low 7,940 SCR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,616.29 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

2.7592
1.5363
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.3247, compared to 1.7144 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.6103 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.3247
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.7144

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 0.8556 SCR (High: 2.5963 / Low: 1.7406). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0689 SCR (High: 2.7113 / Low: 2.6424).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.8556
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0689

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.5749 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5749

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 2.6573) against the same month in 2020 (average: 1.7064), the exchange rate shifted by +0.9509 (+55.73%).

2021 Avg (January) 2.6573
2020 Avg (January) 1.7064

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2.7113 2.6424 2.6573
February 2.6880 2.6046 2.6508
March 2.6778 2.5475 2.6469
April 2.5963 1.7406 2.0720
May 2.0642 1.8424 1.9715
June 2.0657 1.8359 1.9494
July 2.0479 1.6847 1.8492
August 1.9153 1.5975 1.7135
September 1.7536 1.5953 1.6382
October 1.8656 1.5976 1.7253
November 1.8604 1.5922 1.6833
December 1.8647 1.5880 1.6768