YEARLY HIGH
2906.1325 STD
YEARLY LOW
2529.1139 STD
YEARLY AVERAGE
2764.7422 STD

2015 MOP to STD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the MOP to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 15, valuing the pair at 2906.1325. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 2529.1139.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 377.0186 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2632.0912 to the December average rate of 2820.4513, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.16% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 2906.1325 was up 15.44% compared to the 2014 peak of 2517.5232, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 14,530,662 STD
2014 Average 11,563,940 STD
Yearly Trough Low 12,645,570 STD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,885,092.82 STD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

2880.6208
2609.4976
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2748.7900, compared to 2780.6945 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 31.9045 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2748.7900
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2780.6945

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was January, with a trading range of 206.0482 STD (High: 2735.1621 / Low: 2529.1139). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 45.3057 STD (High: 2733.1746 / Low: 2687.8689).

January Spread (Volatile) ±206.0482
February Spread (Stable) ±45.3057

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 101.7708 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -101.7708

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2015: 2827.8168) against the same month in 2014 (average: 2217.9797), the exchange rate shifted by +609.8370 (+27.50%).

2015 Avg (March) 2827.8168
2014 Avg (March) 2217.9797

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2735.1621 2529.1139 2632.0912
February 2733.1746 2687.8689 2703.3182
March 2906.1325 2736.0984 2827.8168
April 2901.0716 2762.0202 2846.7548
May 2808.2904 2681.5527 2744.9839
June 2799.3358 2705.7927 2737.7749
July 2827.3627 2759.9482 2787.4330
August 2814.6565 2679.7160 2756.9700
September 2756.3703 2692.0020 2730.3062
October 2802.3361 2685.5745 2730.9794
November 2899.7161 2792.9458 2858.0272
December 2896.2133 2793.6055 2820.4513