YEARLY HIGH
337.7217 UGX
YEARLY LOW
289.1841 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
313.5101 UGX

2012 MOP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the MOP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 10, valuing the pair at 337.7217. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 12, dropping to 289.1841.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 48.5376 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 301.6663 to the December average rate of 334.9324, the exchange rate registered a net change of 11.03% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 337.7217 was down 6.07% compared to the 2011 peak of 359.5438, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,688,608 UGX
2011 Average 1,574,139 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 1,445,920 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 242,688.01 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

339.1922
288.0745
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 306.3921, compared to 320.6282 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 14.2360 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 306.3921
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 320.6282

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was January, with a trading range of 19.1047 UGX (High: 309.9694 / Low: 290.8646). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.5185 UGX (High: 311.1208 / Low: 308.6023).

January Spread (Volatile) ±19.1047
July Spread (Stable) ±2.5185

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 9.3319 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -9.3319

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2012: 334.9324) against the same month in 2011 (average: 305.9898), the exchange rate shifted by +28.9427 (+9.46%).

2012 Avg (December) 334.9324
2011 Avg (December) 305.9898

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 309.9694 290.8646 301.6663
February 306.3516 289.1841 292.3343
March 320.2586 306.2840 310.3996
April 314.7863 310.0680 312.9778
May 314.0738 306.6334 309.9230
June 313.9166 308.8728 311.0517
July 311.1208 308.6023 309.7346
August 315.7965 310.3626 312.1215
September 319.5211 313.0596 315.3226
October 325.5951 319.8778 323.3977
November 337.6902 323.0123 328.2602
December 337.7217 331.8652 334.9324