YEARLY HIGH
196.3374 UGX
YEARLY LOW
169.5919 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
183.1829 UGX

2016 MXN to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MXN to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 196.3374. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 12, dropping to 169.5919.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 26.7455 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 191.1755 to the December average rate of 175.4234, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.24% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 196.3374 was down 12.42% compared to the 2015 peak of 224.1697, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 MXN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,816,870 UGX
2015 Average 10,185,408 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 8,479,597 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,337,273.08 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

192.7507
173.8481
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MXN to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 187.2666, compared to 179.0992 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 8.1674 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 187.2666
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 179.0992

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 21.0230 UGX (High: 190.6150 / Low: 169.5919). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 5.7995 UGX (High: 177.9683 / Low: 172.1687).

November Spread (Volatile) ±21.0230
December Spread (Stable) ±5.7995

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 6.6283 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -6.6283

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 191.1755) against the same month in 2015 (average: 194.0171), the exchange rate shifted by -2.8416 (-1.46%).

2016 Avg (January) 191.1755
2015 Avg (January) 194.0171

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 196.3374 185.7918 191.1755
February 190.7087 180.9731 185.7255
March 195.1487 186.2829 190.7401
April 194.5905 188.2178 191.1286
May 193.1296 182.0396 184.5003
June 185.3417 177.0056 180.3296
July 185.2322 179.0958 181.9237
August 186.1565 178.1475 182.4600
September 184.3432 170.4234 176.1999
October 185.9411 174.1893 181.1613
November 190.6150 169.5919 177.4270
December 177.9683 172.1687 175.4234