YEARLY HIGH
77.3875 UGX
YEARLY LOW
68.9709 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
72.8579 UGX

2021 PHP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the PHP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 16, valuing the pair at 77.3875. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 28, dropping to 68.9709.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 8.4166 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 76.7795 to the December average rate of 70.6601, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.97% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 77.3875 was down 0.31% compared to the 2020 peak of 77.6254, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 250,000 PHP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 19,346,874 UGX
2020 Average 18,739,088 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 17,242,726 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,104,148.01 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

77.4260
69.6673
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PHP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 75.1193, compared to 70.5965 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 4.5228 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 75.1193
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 70.5965

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was August, with a trading range of 2.7303 UGX (High: 72.4149 / Low: 69.6846). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.6023 UGX (High: 75.7332 / Low: 75.1309).

August Spread (Volatile) ±2.7303
March Spread (Stable) ±0.6023

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 2.5226 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.5226

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 76.7795) against the same month in 2020 (average: 72.3643), the exchange rate shifted by +4.4152 (+6.10%).

2021 Avg (January) 76.7795
2020 Avg (January) 72.3643

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 77.3875 75.6174 76.7795
February 76.6080 74.8135 75.9317
March 75.7332 75.1309 75.4441
April 75.7161 74.1275 74.8636
May 74.6659 73.7435 74.1992
June 74.3214 72.7480 73.4974
July 72.4714 69.7702 70.9748
August 72.4149 69.6846 70.4852
September 70.9782 68.9709 70.3139
October 71.4523 69.5851 70.5509
November 71.1165 69.9868 70.5940
December 71.7631 69.0765 70.6601