YEARLY HIGH
1.4325 ARS
YEARLY LOW
1.1357 ARS
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.2903 ARS

2021 RUB to ARS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the RUB to ARS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 26, valuing the pair at 1.4325. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 4, dropping to 1.1357.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2968 ARS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.1533 to the December average rate of 1.3791, the exchange rate registered a net change of 19.58% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 1.4325 was up 25.99% compared to the 2020 peak of 1.1370, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,162 ARS
2020 Average 4,880 ARS
Yearly Trough Low 5,678 ARS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,484.06 ARS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

1.4146
1.1295
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to ARS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.2282, compared to 1.3524 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1242 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.2282
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.3524

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was November, with a trading range of 0.0809 ARS (High: 1.4145 / Low: 1.3336). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0245 ARS (High: 1.3582 / Low: 1.3337).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0809
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0245

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0157 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0157

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2021: 1.3908) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.9995), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3913 (+39.15%).

2021 Avg (October) 1.3908
2020 Avg (October) 0.9995

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.1749 1.1357 1.1533
February 1.2196 1.1499 1.1932
March 1.2513 1.1928 1.2214
April 1.2558 1.1907 1.2181
May 1.2917 1.2416 1.2718
June 1.3248 1.2868 1.3117
July 1.3221 1.2837 1.3010
August 1.3334 1.3087 1.3209
September 1.3582 1.3337 1.3475
October 1.4325 1.3550 1.3908
November 1.4145 1.3336 1.3751
December 1.3973 1.3594 1.3791