YEARLY HIGH
7.4490 ARS
YEARLY LOW
4.2784 ARS
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.7295 ARS

2018 TRY to ARS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the TRY to ARS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 26, valuing the pair at 7.4490. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 13, dropping to 4.2784.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.1706 ARS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.0396 to the December average rate of 7.1184, the exchange rate registered a net change of 41.25% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 7.4490 was up 46.70% compared to the 2017 peak of 5.0779, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 372,449 ARS
2017 Average 227,316 ARS
Yearly Trough Low 213,919 ARS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 158,529.89 ARS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

7.3320
4.7697
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to ARS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.2542, compared to 6.2048 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.9506 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.2542
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.2048

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 1.4719 ARS (High: 5.7502 / Low: 4.2784). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1868 ARS (High: 5.3273 / Low: 5.1405).

August Spread (Volatile) ±1.4719
February Spread (Stable) ±0.1868

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.7477 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7477

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2018: 6.7858) against the same month in 2017 (average: 4.4922), the exchange rate shifted by +2.2936 (+51.06%).

2018 Avg (November) 6.7858
2017 Avg (November) 4.4922

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.2380 4.8789 5.0396
February 5.3273 5.1405 5.2385
March 5.3516 5.0185 5.1943
April 5.0969 4.8671 4.9832
May 5.7402 5.0403 5.3155
June 6.2976 5.3639 5.7542
July 6.2982 5.5746 5.7920
August 5.7502 4.2784 5.0443
September 6.8292 5.6065 6.1175
October 6.7115 6.1136 6.3710
November 7.4490 6.4559 6.7858
December 7.2780 6.9370 7.1184