YEARLY HIGH
47.8757 DJF
YEARLY LOW
25.6133 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
37.9289 DJF

2018 TRY to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the TRY to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 7, valuing the pair at 47.8757. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 13, dropping to 25.6133.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 22.2623 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 47.3880 to the December average rate of 33.5243, the exchange rate registered a net change of -29.26% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 47.8757 was down 8.82% compared to the 2017 peak of 52.5071, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,393,784 DJF
2017 Average 2,454,855 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 1,280,667 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,113,116.79 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

49.3041
26.3115
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 43.6613, compared to 32.1966 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 11.4647 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 43.6613
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 32.1966

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 10.1043 DJF (High: 35.7177 / Low: 25.6133). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.1356 DJF (High: 47.8757 / Low: 46.7401).

August Spread (Volatile) ±10.1043
January Spread (Stable) ±1.1356

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 7.0711 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -7.0711

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 47.3880) against the same month in 2017 (average: 47.7858), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3978 (-0.83%).

2018 Avg (January) 47.3880
2017 Avg (January) 47.7858

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 47.8757 46.7401 47.3880
February 47.7907 46.3529 46.9120
March 46.6157 44.1023 45.4933
April 44.7339 42.6046 43.5456
May 43.0550 37.4045 40.1689
June 39.7992 37.5148 38.4599
July 38.9464 36.1847 37.3132
August 35.7177 25.6133 30.2422
September 29.6280 26.7279 28.2276
October 32.5294 28.7727 30.6565
November 34.4333 32.2232 33.2156
December 34.2472 33.0417 33.5243