YEARLY HIGH
3.4346 MAD
YEARLY LOW
2.8329 MAD
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.2506 MAD

2016 TRY to MAD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the TRY to MAD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 20, valuing the pair at 3.4346. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 5, dropping to 2.8329.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6017 MAD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.3011 to the December average rate of 2.8870, the exchange rate registered a net change of -12.54% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 3.4346 was down 16.35% compared to the 2015 peak of 4.1059, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 171,732 MAD
2015 Average 179,751 MAD
Yearly Trough Low 141,645 MAD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 30,086.83 MAD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

3.4574
2.8351
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to MAD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.3385, compared to 3.1627 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1758 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.3385
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.1627

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.2410 MAD (High: 3.1599 / Low: 2.9189). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0601 MAD (High: 3.4163 / Low: 3.3562).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.2410
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0601

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.1702 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1702

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2016: 3.4055) against the same month in 2015 (average: 3.7412), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3357 (-8.97%).

2016 Avg (April) 3.4055
2015 Avg (April) 3.7412

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.3996 3.2373 3.3011
February 3.3573 3.2859 3.3197
March 3.4163 3.3562 3.3862
April 3.4346 3.3707 3.4055
May 3.4335 3.2488 3.2878
June 3.3943 3.3090 3.3309
July 3.3947 3.2034 3.3025
August 3.3132 3.2429 3.2859
September 3.3225 3.2394 3.2761
October 3.2372 3.1738 3.1976
November 3.1599 2.9189 3.0274
December 2.9295 2.8329 2.8870