YEARLY HIGH
1.0377 RON
YEARLY LOW
0.5879 RON
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.8372 RON

2018 TRY to RON Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the TRY to RON exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 8, valuing the pair at 1.0377. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 13, dropping to 0.5879.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4498 RON. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0111 to the December average rate of 0.7696, the exchange rate registered a net change of -23.88% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.0377 was down 15.19% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.2236, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 51,886 RON
2017 Average 55,598 RON
Yearly Trough Low 29,397 RON
Transaction Impact: A difference of 22,488.88 RON purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.0490
0.5939
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to RON Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9439, compared to 0.7306 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2133 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9439
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.7306

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.2067 RON (High: 0.7946 / Low: 0.5879). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0156 RON (High: 1.0043 / Low: 0.9887).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.2067
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0156

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.1506 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1506

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 1.0111) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.1331), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1220 (-10.77%).

2018 Avg (January) 1.0111
2017 Avg (January) 1.1331

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.0377 0.9920 1.0111
February 1.0043 0.9887 0.9961
March 0.9966 0.9413 0.9711
April 0.9551 0.9099 0.9347
May 0.9389 0.8302 0.8877
June 0.8855 0.8467 0.8628
July 0.8688 0.8038 0.8339
August 0.7946 0.5879 0.6834
September 0.6667 0.6001 0.6319
October 0.7516 0.6558 0.6997
November 0.7913 0.7401 0.7650
December 0.7890 0.7610 0.7696