YEARLY HIGH
0.0290 ARS
YEARLY LOW
0.0229 ARS
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0265 ARS

2021 UGX to ARS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the UGX to ARS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 28, valuing the pair at 0.0290. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 5, dropping to 0.0229.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0061 ARS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0233 to the December average rate of 0.0286, the exchange rate registered a net change of 23.10% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 0.0290 was up 25.57% compared to the 2020 peak of 0.0231, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 145 ARS
2020 Average 95 ARS
Yearly Trough Low 115 ARS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 30.32 ARS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

0.0292
0.0227
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to ARS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0252, compared to 0.0278 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0026 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0252
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0278

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 0.0012 ARS (High: 0.0261 / Low: 0.0250). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0003 ARS (High: 0.0280 / Low: 0.0276).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0012
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0003

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0001 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0001

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2021: 0.0286) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.0225), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0061 (+27.16%).

2021 Avg (December) 0.0286
2020 Avg (December) 0.0225

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0237 0.0229 0.0233
February 0.0245 0.0238 0.0242
March 0.0251 0.0246 0.0249
April 0.0261 0.0250 0.0256
May 0.0267 0.0260 0.0265
June 0.0270 0.0267 0.0269
July 0.0273 0.0269 0.0271
August 0.0277 0.0272 0.0275
September 0.0280 0.0276 0.0278
October 0.0281 0.0274 0.0277
November 0.0284 0.0280 0.0282
December 0.0290 0.0283 0.0286