YEARLY HIGH
0.0143 PHP
YEARLY LOW
0.0136 PHP
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0139 PHP

2016 UGX to PHP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UGX to PHP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 2, valuing the pair at 0.0143. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 31, dropping to 0.0136.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0007 PHP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0138 to the December average rate of 0.0138, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.24% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.0143 was down 11.43% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.0162, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 72 PHP
2015 Average 71 PHP
Yearly Trough Low 68 PHP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3.34 PHP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.0141
0.0138
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to PHP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0139, compared to 0.0139 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0001 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0139
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0139

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was September, with a trading range of 0.0005 PHP (High: 0.0143 / Low: 0.0138). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0001 PHP (High: 0.0139 / Low: 0.0137).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.0005
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0001

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0003 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0003

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2016: 0.0141) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0127), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0014 (+10.72%).

2016 Avg (October) 0.0141
2015 Avg (October) 0.0127

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0139 0.0137 0.0138
February 0.0142 0.0137 0.0139
March 0.0141 0.0136 0.0139
April 0.0142 0.0137 0.0139
May 0.0142 0.0138 0.0140
June 0.0139 0.0137 0.0138
July 0.0140 0.0138 0.0139
August 0.0140 0.0137 0.0138
September 0.0143 0.0138 0.0141
October 0.0143 0.0139 0.0141
November 0.0140 0.0137 0.0138
December 0.0141 0.0137 0.0138