YEARLY HIGH
0.0294 RSD
YEARLY LOW
0.0258 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0277 RSD

2021 UGX to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the UGX to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 17, valuing the pair at 0.0294. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 6, dropping to 0.0258.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0036 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0262 to the December average rate of 0.0293, the exchange rate registered a net change of 11.58% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 0.0294 was down 1.00% compared to the 2020 peak of 0.0297, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 147 RSD
2020 Average 139 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 129 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 18.13 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

0.0296
0.0259
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0269, compared to 0.0285 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0016 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0269
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0285

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was October, with a trading range of 0.0009 RSD (High: 0.0287 / Low: 0.0278). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0004 RSD (High: 0.0273 / Low: 0.0270).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.0009
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0004

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 11 straight months. No significant month-over-month rate declines were detected.

Longest Streak 11 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0000

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2021: 0.0293) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.0264), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0029 (+11.00%).

2021 Avg (December) 0.0293
2020 Avg (December) 0.0264

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0265 0.0258 0.0262
February 0.0268 0.0263 0.0265
March 0.0274 0.0266 0.0270
April 0.0273 0.0270 0.0271
May 0.0275 0.0270 0.0273
June 0.0279 0.0271 0.0276
July 0.0282 0.0277 0.0280
August 0.0285 0.0278 0.0282
September 0.0285 0.0281 0.0283
October 0.0287 0.0278 0.0283
November 0.0294 0.0285 0.0290
December 0.0294 0.0290 0.0293