YEARLY HIGH
1.5765 KES
YEARLY LOW
1.4979 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.5428 KES

2014 AFN to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the AFN to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 3, valuing the pair at 1.5765. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 27, dropping to 1.4979.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0787 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.5333 to the December average rate of 1.5596, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.71% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 1.5765 was down 7.86% compared to the 2013 peak of 1.7111, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AFN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,883 KES
2013 Average 7,872 KES
Yearly Trough Low 7,489 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 393.28 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

1.5701
1.5148
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AFN to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.5274, compared to 1.5582 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0307 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.5274
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.5582

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was January, with a trading range of 0.0542 KES (High: 1.5521 / Low: 1.4979). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0130 KES (High: 1.5646 / Low: 1.5517).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0542
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0130

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0124 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0124

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2014: 1.5652) against the same month in 2013 (average: 1.5569), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0083 (+0.53%).

2014 Avg (September) 1.5652
2013 Avg (September) 1.5569

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.5521 1.4979 1.5333
February 1.5343 1.5074 1.5209
March 1.5291 1.5125 1.5194
April 1.5495 1.5112 1.5271
May 1.5463 1.5267 1.5378
June 1.5406 1.5119 1.5260
July 1.5673 1.5210 1.5429
August 1.5747 1.5440 1.5655
September 1.5765 1.5542 1.5652
October 1.5715 1.5429 1.5571
November 1.5646 1.5517 1.5587
December 1.5667 1.5523 1.5596