YEARLY HIGH
3.7934 AFN
YEARLY LOW
1.7864 AFN
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.7457 AFN

2018 ARS to AFN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to AFN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 3.7934. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 18, dropping to 1.7864.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.0070 AFN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.6740 to the December average rate of 1.9999, the exchange rate registered a net change of -45.57% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 3.7934 was down 14.87% compared to the 2017 peak of 4.4561, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 18,967 AFN
2017 Average 20,567 AFN
Yearly Trough Low 8,932 AFN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 10,035.12 AFN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

3.8468
1.7736
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to AFN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.2985, compared to 2.1929 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.1056 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.2985
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.1929

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.7608 AFN (High: 2.6573 / Low: 1.8965). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0426 AFN (High: 3.4505 / Low: 3.4080).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.7608
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0426

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.5049 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5049

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 3.6740) against the same month in 2017 (average: 4.2007), the exchange rate shifted by -0.5267 (-12.54%).

2018 Avg (January) 3.6740
2017 Avg (January) 4.2007

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.7934 3.5374 3.6740
February 3.5877 3.4275 3.4980
March 3.4505 3.4080 3.4358
April 3.4861 3.4197 3.4573
May 3.3968 2.8491 3.0263
June 2.8749 2.5376 2.6993
July 2.6796 2.5284 2.6390
August 2.6573 1.8965 2.4513
September 2.0395 1.8339 1.9464
October 2.1176 1.9156 2.0469
November 2.1385 1.7864 2.0738
December 2.0776 1.9608 1.9999