YEARLY HIGH
12.0585 AOA
YEARLY LOW
9.7574 AOA
YEARLY AVERAGE
11.0509 AOA

2016 ARS to AOA Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ARS to AOA exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 15, valuing the pair at 12.0585. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 9, dropping to 9.7574.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.3011 AOA. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.9890 to the December average rate of 10.4630, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.79% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 12.0585 was down 16.57% compared to the 2015 peak of 14.4543, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 60,292 AOA
2015 Average 64,744 AOA
Yearly Trough Low 48,787 AOA
Transaction Impact: A difference of 11,505.63 AOA purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

11.8685
10.3352
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to AOA Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 11.1985, compared to 10.9032 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2952 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 11.1985
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 10.9032

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 1.9583 AOA (High: 11.7156 / Low: 9.7574). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1672 AOA (High: 10.9592 / Low: 10.7920).

January Spread (Volatile) ±1.9583
October Spread (Stable) ±0.1672

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.6161 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6161

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 11.7344) against the same month in 2015 (average: 12.7451), the exchange rate shifted by -1.0107 (-7.93%).

2016 Avg (June) 11.7344
2015 Avg (June) 12.7451

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 11.7156 9.7574 10.9890
February 11.0550 10.0636 10.6470
March 11.0592 10.0876 10.6892
April 11.8100 10.8612 11.3905
May 11.9177 11.6120 11.7408
June 12.0585 10.8912 11.7344
July 11.3519 11.0004 11.1184
August 11.2991 11.0037 11.1597
September 11.0980 10.7904 10.9701
October 10.9592 10.7920 10.9072
November 11.0522 10.5000 10.8009
December 10.7158 10.3381 10.4630