YEARLY HIGH
0.3036 BGN
YEARLY LOW
0.2178 BGN
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.2710 BGN

2013 ARS to BGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the ARS to BGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 9, valuing the pair at 0.3036. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 0.2178.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0859 BGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.2976 to the December average rate of 0.2257, the exchange rate registered a net change of -24.18% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 0.3036 was down 15.29% compared to the 2012 peak of 0.3584, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,518 BGN
2012 Average 1,678 BGN
Yearly Trough Low 1,089 BGN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 429.36 BGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

0.3048
0.2185
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to BGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.2909, compared to 0.2512 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0397 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.2909
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2512

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was December, with a trading range of 0.0171 BGN (High: 0.2349 / Low: 0.2178). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0043 BGN (High: 0.2985 / Low: 0.2942).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0171
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0043

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2013. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0157 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0157

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2013: 0.2976) against the same month in 2012 (average: 0.3514), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0537 (-15.30%).

2013 Avg (January) 0.2976
2012 Avg (January) 0.3514

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.3036 0.2900 0.2976
February 0.2968 0.2881 0.2925
March 0.2985 0.2942 0.2968
April 0.2983 0.2883 0.2918
May 0.2910 0.2849 0.2881
June 0.2851 0.2742 0.2786
July 0.2821 0.2677 0.2752
August 0.2686 0.2596 0.2635
September 0.2613 0.2501 0.2557
October 0.2497 0.2410 0.2456
November 0.2456 0.2345 0.2413
December 0.2349 0.2178 0.2257