YEARLY HIGH
0.0205 BHD
YEARLY LOW
0.0091 BHD
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0144 BHD

2018 ARS to BHD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to BHD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 0.0205. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 30, dropping to 0.0091.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0114 BHD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0198 to the December average rate of 0.0100, the exchange rate registered a net change of -49.74% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.0205 was down 17.49% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.0249, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 103 BHD
2017 Average 114 BHD
Yearly Trough Low 46 BHD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 56.89 BHD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.0208
0.0088
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to BHD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0177, compared to 0.0111 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0066 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0177
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0111

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.0041 BHD (High: 0.0139 / Low: 0.0097). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0002 BHD (High: 0.0187 / Low: 0.0185).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0041
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0002

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0029 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0029

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 0.0198) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.0237), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0039 (-16.38%).

2018 Avg (January) 0.0198
2017 Avg (January) 0.0237

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0205 0.0192 0.0198
February 0.0195 0.0186 0.0190
March 0.0187 0.0185 0.0186
April 0.0187 0.0183 0.0186
May 0.0182 0.0151 0.0161
June 0.0152 0.0131 0.0142
July 0.0139 0.0131 0.0137
August 0.0139 0.0097 0.0127
September 0.0102 0.0091 0.0098
October 0.0105 0.0096 0.0102
November 0.0107 0.0096 0.0104
December 0.0103 0.0098 0.0100