YEARLY HIGH
2.7745 CDF
YEARLY LOW
1.4736 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.2478 CDF

2025 ARS to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025

During 2025, the ARS to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 2.7745. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 20, dropping to 1.4736.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.3009 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.7402 to the December average rate of 1.5602, the exchange rate registered a net change of -43.06% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 2.7745 was down 17.82% compared to the 2024 peak of 3.3762, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 13,873 CDF
2024 Average 15,438 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 7,368 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,504.51 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2025.

2.8587
1.4360
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.6166, compared to 1.8790 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.7376 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.6166
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.8790

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2025 was July, with a trading range of 0.4757 CDF (High: 2.5901 / Low: 2.1143). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0386 CDF (High: 2.7261 / Low: 2.6875).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.4757
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0386

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2025. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.3898 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3898

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2025: 2.7402) against the same month in 2024 (average: 3.3288), the exchange rate shifted by -0.5886 (-17.68%).

2025 Avg (January) 2.7402
2024 Avg (January) 3.3288

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2.7745 2.7096 2.7402
February 2.7261 2.6875 2.7086
March 2.7066 2.6533 2.6892
April 2.7107 2.4270 2.5884
May 2.6159 2.4212 2.5212
June 2.5314 2.4043 2.4521
July 2.5901 2.1143 2.3163
August 2.2458 2.1104 2.1841
September 2.1356 1.9069 2.0242
October 1.8440 1.4736 1.6344
November 1.6078 1.4820 1.5546
December 1.5887 1.4917 1.5602