YEARLY HIGH
1067.0844 IDR
YEARLY LOW
832.1731 IDR
YEARLY AVERAGE
903.6411 IDR

2016 ARS to IDR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ARS to IDR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 1067.0844. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 8, dropping to 832.1731.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 234.9113 IDR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1023.1633 to the December average rate of 846.8530, the exchange rate registered a net change of -17.23% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1067.0844 was down 31.72% compared to the 2015 peak of 1562.9103, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,335,422 IDR
2015 Average 7,264,877 IDR
Yearly Trough Low 4,160,865 IDR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,174,556.67 IDR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1040.7943
829.2219
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to IDR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 938.9640, compared to 868.3182 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 70.6458 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 938.9640
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 868.3182

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 127.5945 IDR (High: 974.7976 / Low: 847.2031). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 14.3464 IDR (High: 863.9845 / Low: 849.6381).

February Spread (Volatile) ±127.5945
October Spread (Stable) ±14.3464

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 107.9666 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -107.9666

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 1023.1633) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1462.3361), the exchange rate shifted by -439.1728 (-30.03%).

2016 Avg (January) 1023.1633
2015 Avg (January) 1462.3361

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1067.0844 988.6920 1023.1633
February 974.7976 847.2031 915.1967
March 919.6628 846.3356 883.8044
April 939.5057 888.8767 915.2567
May 977.6006 924.0685 950.9637
June 980.1171 870.6493 945.3989
July 898.0994 869.7965 880.6056
August 894.9286 875.7377 886.7188
September 889.5627 844.6977 869.4522
October 863.9845 849.6381 857.8228
November 881.8366 858.9398 868.4565
December 868.9344 832.1731 846.8530