YEARLY HIGH
0.1876 ILS
YEARLY LOW
0.0880 ILS
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1367 ILS

2018 ARS to ILS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to ILS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 0.1876. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 30, dropping to 0.0880.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0996 ILS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1801 to the December average rate of 0.0993, the exchange rate registered a net change of -44.86% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.1876 was down 22.88% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.2433, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 938 ILS
2017 Average 1,091 ILS
Yearly Trough Low 440 ILS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 497.90 ILS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.1888
0.0846
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to ILS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1652, compared to 0.1082 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0570 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1652
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1082

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.0425 ILS (High: 0.1357 / Low: 0.0932). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0038 ILS (High: 0.1776 / Low: 0.1738).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0425
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0038

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0304 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0304

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 0.1801) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.2402), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0601 (-25.02%).

2018 Avg (January) 0.1801
2017 Avg (January) 0.2402

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.1876 0.1733 0.1801
February 0.1799 0.1724 0.1764
March 0.1742 0.1696 0.1715
April 0.1776 0.1738 0.1748
May 0.1743 0.1428 0.1528
June 0.1435 0.1266 0.1355
July 0.1343 0.1264 0.1319
August 0.1357 0.0932 0.1236
September 0.0979 0.0880 0.0932
October 0.1037 0.0921 0.0989
November 0.1042 0.0950 0.1020
December 0.1019 0.0979 0.0993