YEARLY HIGH
5.0232 KZT
YEARLY LOW
4.2344 KZT
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.4983 KZT

2021 ARS to KZT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the ARS to KZT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 5.0232. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 4.2344.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.7888 KZT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.9003 to the December average rate of 4.2882, the exchange rate registered a net change of -12.49% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 5.0232 was down 30.26% compared to the 2020 peak of 7.2026, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 25,116 KZT
2020 Average 29,548 KZT
Yearly Trough Low 21,172 KZT
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,944.10 KZT purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

4.9615
4.2270
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to KZT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.6550, compared to 4.3416 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3134 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.6550
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.3416

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was February, with a trading range of 0.2187 KZT (High: 4.8429 / Low: 4.6241). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0406 KZT (High: 4.4003 / Low: 4.3597).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.2187
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0406

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.1765 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1765

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 4.9003) against the same month in 2020 (average: 6.3292), the exchange rate shifted by -1.4289 (-22.58%).

2021 Avg (January) 4.9003
2020 Avg (January) 6.3292

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.0232 4.8471 4.9003
February 4.8429 4.6241 4.7238
March 4.6589 4.5928 4.6219
April 4.6987 4.5812 4.6420
May 4.6028 4.5281 4.5519
June 4.5246 4.4617 4.4902
July 4.4872 4.3999 4.4386
August 4.4003 4.3597 4.3847
September 4.3623 4.3096 4.3361
October 4.3262 4.2766 4.2965
November 4.3596 4.2851 4.3054
December 4.3378 4.2344 4.2882