YEARLY HIGH
6.8403 LRD
YEARLY LOW
3.7666 LRD
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.3848 LRD

2018 ARS to LRD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to LRD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 14, valuing the pair at 6.8403. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 30, dropping to 3.7666.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.0737 LRD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.6774 to the December average rate of 4.1695, the exchange rate registered a net change of -37.56% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 6.8403 was down 6.22% compared to the 2017 peak of 7.2941, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 34,202 LRD
2017 Average 31,472 LRD
Yearly Trough Low 18,833 LRD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 15,368.68 LRD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

6.9432
3.7533
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to LRD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.1762, compared to 4.5935 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.5828 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.1762
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.5935

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 1.6265 LRD (High: 5.6087 / Low: 3.9822). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1183 LRD (High: 6.5369 / Low: 6.4185).

August Spread (Volatile) ±1.6265
March Spread (Stable) ±0.1183

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 1.1531 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.1531

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 6.6774) against the same month in 2017 (average: 5.8944), the exchange rate shifted by +0.7830 (+13.28%).

2018 Avg (January) 6.6774
2017 Avg (January) 5.8944

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.8403 6.2461 6.6774
February 6.5091 6.2478 6.3679
March 6.5369 6.4185 6.4843
April 6.5458 6.3775 6.4769
May 6.3314 5.2955 5.6980
June 5.5665 5.0174 5.3529
July 5.8747 5.1780 5.6231
August 5.6087 3.9822 5.1722
September 4.1868 3.7666 4.0191
October 4.3715 3.9418 4.2338
November 4.4541 4.0441 4.3430
December 4.3261 4.0961 4.1695