YEARLY HIGH
0.6715 LSL
YEARLY LOW
0.3441 LSL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.4957 LSL

2018 ARS to LSL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to LSL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 0.6715. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 30, dropping to 0.3441.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3274 LSL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6418 to the December average rate of 0.3773, the exchange rate registered a net change of -41.21% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.6715 was down 26.76% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.9168, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,357 LSL
2017 Average 4,030 LSL
Yearly Trough Low 1,721 LSL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,636.78 LSL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.6682
0.3509
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to LSL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5758, compared to 0.4156 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1601 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5758
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4156

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.1219 LSL (High: 0.4922 / Low: 0.3703). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0164 LSL (High: 0.5943 / Low: 0.5779).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.1219
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0164

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0845 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0845

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 0.6418) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.8522), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2104 (-24.69%).

2018 Avg (January) 0.6418
2017 Avg (January) 0.8522

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.6715 0.6029 0.6418
February 0.6196 0.5739 0.5970
March 0.5943 0.5779 0.5865
April 0.6143 0.5866 0.5975
May 0.5984 0.4913 0.5341
June 0.5124 0.4758 0.4978
July 0.4942 0.4762 0.4856
August 0.4922 0.3703 0.4674
September 0.4101 0.3441 0.3829
October 0.4110 0.3585 0.3927
November 0.4056 0.3557 0.3881
December 0.3836 0.3651 0.3773