YEARLY HIGH
0.6652 MAD
YEARLY LOW
0.4882 MAD
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.5892 MAD

2017 ARS to MAD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the ARS to MAD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 13, valuing the pair at 0.6652. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 0.4882.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1770 MAD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6333 to the December average rate of 0.5320, the exchange rate registered a net change of -16.00% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 0.6652 was down 13.13% compared to the 2016 peak of 0.7657, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,326 MAD
2016 Average 3,327 MAD
Yearly Trough Low 2,441 MAD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 885.03 MAD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

0.6660
0.5198
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to MAD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6353, compared to 0.5430 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0924 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6353
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5430

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was December, with a trading range of 0.0610 MAD (High: 0.5493 / Low: 0.4882). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0069 MAD (High: 0.5439 / Low: 0.5370).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0610
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0069

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0472 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0472

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2017: 0.6538) against the same month in 2016 (average: 0.6710), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0172 (-2.56%).

2017 Avg (April) 0.6538
2016 Avg (April) 0.6710

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.6406 0.6273 0.6333
February 0.6564 0.6327 0.6463
March 0.6591 0.6373 0.6467
April 0.6652 0.6405 0.6538
May 0.6499 0.6018 0.6263
June 0.6149 0.5797 0.6056
July 0.5853 0.5315 0.5584
August 0.5554 0.5327 0.5419
September 0.5511 0.5367 0.5435
October 0.5458 0.5371 0.5413
November 0.5439 0.5370 0.5407
December 0.5493 0.4882 0.5320