YEARLY HIGH
1.4627 MKD
YEARLY LOW
0.9163 MKD
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.1741 MKD

2019 ARS to MKD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the ARS to MKD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 26, valuing the pair at 1.4627. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 14, dropping to 0.9163.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5464 MKD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.4446 to the December average rate of 0.9256, the exchange rate registered a net change of -35.93% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 1.4627 was down 47.36% compared to the 2018 peak of 2.7788, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,314 MKD
2018 Average 9,890 MKD
Yearly Trough Low 4,582 MKD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,731.99 MKD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

1.4965
0.8737
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to MKD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.3215, compared to 1.0268 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2947 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.3215
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0268

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 0.3364 MKD (High: 1.2527 / Low: 0.9163). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0154 MKD (High: 0.9393 / Low: 0.9238).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.3364
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0154

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.2167 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2167

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 1.4446) against the same month in 2018 (average: 2.6579), the exchange rate shifted by -1.2134 (-45.65%).

2019 Avg (January) 1.4446
2018 Avg (January) 2.6579

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.4627 1.4261 1.4446
February 1.4505 1.3694 1.4159
March 1.3686 1.2458 1.3194
April 1.3139 1.2057 1.2725
May 1.2421 1.2131 1.2281
June 1.2777 1.2107 1.2483
July 1.3160 1.2565 1.2898
August 1.2527 0.9163 1.0731
September 1.0067 0.9359 0.9869
October 0.9799 0.9238 0.9522
November 0.9393 0.9238 0.9331
December 0.9356 0.9164 0.9256