YEARLY HIGH
19.8736 MMK
YEARLY LOW
15.1328 MMK
YEARLY AVERAGE
16.9149 MMK

2021 ARS to MMK Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the ARS to MMK exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 7, valuing the pair at 19.8736. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 2, dropping to 15.1328.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.7408 MMK. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 15.4913 to the December average rate of 17.4827, the exchange rate registered a net change of 12.85% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 19.8736 was down 19.72% compared to the 2020 peak of 24.7561, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 99,368 MMK
2020 Average 98,830 MMK
Yearly Trough Low 75,664 MMK
Transaction Impact: A difference of 23,704.03 MMK purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

19.3981
15.1315
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to MMK Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 16.0975, compared to 17.7323 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.6348 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 16.0975
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 17.7323

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was September, with a trading range of 2.1989 MMK (High: 18.9940 / Low: 16.7950). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1764 MMK (High: 17.1951 / Low: 17.0187).

September Spread (Volatile) ±2.1989
July Spread (Stable) ±0.1764

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 1.2158 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.2158

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2021: 19.0426) against the same month in 2020 (average: 16.6681), the exchange rate shifted by +2.3745 (+14.25%).

2021 Avg (October) 19.0426
2020 Avg (October) 16.6681

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 15.8286 15.2157 15.4913
February 16.0150 15.1328 15.7989
March 15.6536 15.3249 15.4871
April 16.6972 15.1332 15.5303
May 17.4961 16.5633 16.9861
June 17.3942 17.2053 17.2912
July 17.1951 17.0187 17.1078
August 17.0158 16.8245 16.9406
September 18.9940 16.7950 17.9935
October 19.8736 18.0051 19.0426
November 18.2872 17.6064 17.8267
December 17.7160 17.3183 17.4827