YEARLY HIGH
19.3204 MRO
YEARLY LOW
5.4983 MRO
YEARLY AVERAGE
13.5961 MRO

2018 ARS to MRO Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to MRO exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 19.3204. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 7, dropping to 5.4983.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 13.8221 MRO. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 18.6814 to the December average rate of 9.4449, the exchange rate registered a net change of -49.44% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 19.3204 was down 18.80% compared to the 2017 peak of 23.7933, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 96,602 MRO
2017 Average 109,010 MRO
Yearly Trough Low 27,491 MRO
Transaction Impact: A difference of 69,110.71 MRO purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

19.6224
8.3306
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to MRO Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 16.7164, compared to 10.4759 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 6.2405 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 16.7164
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 10.4759

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was October, with a trading range of 4.4482 MRO (High: 9.9465 / Low: 5.4983). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2017 MRO (High: 17.6741 / Low: 17.4724).

October Spread (Volatile) ±4.4482
March Spread (Stable) ±0.2017

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 2.7503 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.7503

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 18.6814) against the same month in 2017 (average: 22.5720), the exchange rate shifted by -3.8906 (-17.24%).

2018 Avg (January) 18.6814
2017 Avg (January) 22.5720

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 19.3204 18.0703 18.6814
February 18.3612 17.5822 17.9246
March 17.6741 17.4724 17.5935
April 17.7163 17.2993 17.5630
May 17.1895 14.2606 15.1517
June 14.2775 12.3235 13.3842
July 13.1076 12.3143 12.8955
August 13.0420 9.2165 12.0219
September 9.6900 8.6595 9.2716
October 9.9465 5.4983 9.3925
November 10.0919 9.1346 9.8288
December 9.7718 9.3066 9.4449