YEARLY HIGH
1.3803 MXN
YEARLY LOW
1.1390 MXN
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.2667 MXN

2016 ARS to MXN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ARS to MXN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 21, valuing the pair at 1.3803. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 2, dropping to 1.1390.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2413 MXN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.3296 to the December average rate of 1.2961, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.52% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.3803 was down 25.58% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.8546, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,901 MXN
2015 Average 8,602 MXN
Yearly Trough Low 5,695 MXN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,206.44 MXN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.3442
1.1682
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to MXN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.2638, compared to 1.2697 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0060 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.2638
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.2697

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.1849 MXN (High: 1.3362 / Low: 1.1512). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0507 MXN (High: 1.2721 / Low: 1.2214).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.1849
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0507

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0798 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0798

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 1.3296) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.7100), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3804 (-22.25%).

2016 Avg (January) 1.3296
2015 Avg (January) 1.7100

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.3803 1.2728 1.3296
February 1.3362 1.1512 1.2498
March 1.2233 1.1390 1.1829
April 1.2552 1.1728 1.2152
May 1.3269 1.2038 1.2842
June 1.3757 1.2249 1.3210
July 1.2792 1.2191 1.2472
August 1.2721 1.2214 1.2457
September 1.3068 1.2223 1.2719
October 1.2708 1.2199 1.2476
November 1.3699 1.2253 1.3097
December 1.3357 1.2638 1.2961