YEARLY HIGH
5.1712 MZN
YEARLY LOW
3.0737 MZN
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.2270 MZN

2016 ARS to MZN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ARS to MZN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 22, valuing the pair at 5.1712. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 29, dropping to 3.0737.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.0974 MZN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.4173 to the December average rate of 4.6026, the exchange rate registered a net change of 34.68% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 5.1712 was down 2.54% compared to the 2015 peak of 5.3058, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 25,856 MZN
2015 Average 20,968 MZN
Yearly Trough Low 15,369 MZN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 10,487.18 MZN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

5.2981
3.0837
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to MZN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.6390, compared to 4.8151 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.1761 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.6390
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.8151

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 0.4446 MZN (High: 3.5358 / Low: 3.0913). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1077 MZN (High: 5.1712 / Low: 5.0634).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.4446
October Spread (Stable) ±0.1077

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.3663 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3663

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2016: 5.1136) against the same month in 2015 (average: 4.4899), the exchange rate shifted by +0.6236 (+13.89%).

2016 Avg (October) 5.1136
2015 Avg (October) 4.4899

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.6689 3.2322 3.4173
February 3.4632 3.0737 3.2683
March 3.5358 3.0913 3.3637
April 3.7387 3.4184 3.6138
May 4.1081 3.7474 3.8850
June 4.4914 4.1119 4.2859
July 4.5610 4.2164 4.3997
August 4.9082 4.6003 4.7783
September 5.1208 4.8875 5.0275
October 5.1712 5.0634 5.1136
November 5.1256 4.7231 4.9689
December 4.7174 4.4933 4.6026