YEARLY HIGH
0.1760 PEN
YEARLY LOW
0.0799 PEN
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1253 PEN

2018 ARS to PEN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to PEN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 0.1760. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 30, dropping to 0.0799.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0961 PEN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1693 to the December average rate of 0.0890, the exchange rate registered a net change of -47.42% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.1760 was down 18.21% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.2152, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 880 PEN
2017 Average 988 PEN
Yearly Trough Low 400 PEN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 480.49 PEN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.1776
0.0776
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to PEN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1527, compared to 0.0979 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0548 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1527
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0979

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.0349 PEN (High: 0.1203 / Low: 0.0854). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0026 PEN (High: 0.1621 / Low: 0.1595).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0349
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0026

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0250 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0250

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 0.1693) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.2101), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0408 (-19.43%).

2018 Avg (January) 0.1693
2017 Avg (January) 0.2101

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.1760 0.1635 0.1693
February 0.1662 0.1608 0.1639
March 0.1621 0.1595 0.1608
April 0.1607 0.1575 0.1596
May 0.1570 0.1303 0.1394
June 0.1312 0.1134 0.1230
July 0.1204 0.1131 0.1186
August 0.1203 0.0854 0.1109
September 0.0897 0.0799 0.0859
October 0.0938 0.0838 0.0901
November 0.0953 0.0865 0.0929
December 0.0924 0.0873 0.0890