2014 ARS to RSD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

12.9029 RSD

YEARLY LOW

10.3754 RSD

YEARLY AVERAGE

10.9146 RSD

2014 ARS to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the ARS to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 5, valuing the pair at 12.9029. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 6, dropping to 10.3754.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.5276 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 12.1939 to the December average rate of 11.5538, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.25% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 12.9029 was down 26.11% compared to the 2013 peak of 17.4629, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 64,515 RSD

2013 Average 78,190 RSD

Yearly Trough Low 51,877 RSD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 12,637.75 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

12.3680

10.2797

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 10.8232, compared to 11.0059 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1827 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 10.8232

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 11.0059

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was January, with a trading range of 2.3170 RSD (High: 12.9029 / Low: 10.5860). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1094 RSD (High: 10.5164 / Low: 10.4070).

January Spread (Volatile) ±2.3170

June Spread (Stable) ±0.1094

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 1.3974 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.3974

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 12.1939) against the same month in 2013 (average: 17.0235), the exchange rate shifted by -4.8296 (-28.37%).

2014 Avg (January) 12.1939

2013 Avg (January) 17.0235

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	12.9029	10.5860	12.1939
February	10.8968	10.6700	10.7965
March	10.7100	10.3975	10.5624
April	10.5323	10.3951	10.4548
May	10.5320	10.3754	10.4778
June	10.5164	10.4070	10.4537
July	10.6458	10.4114	10.5299
August	10.6788	10.5537	10.6068
September	11.0898	10.6721	10.9381
October	11.2284	11.0151	11.1057
November	11.3844	11.1508	11.3012
December	11.8117	11.3483	11.5538

2014 ARS నుండి RSD చారిత్రక సమీక్ష