YEARLY HIGH
0.6284 SBD
YEARLY LOW
0.4870 SBD
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.5374 SBD

2016 ARS to SBD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ARS to SBD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 0.6284. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 13, dropping to 0.4870.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1414 SBD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6007 to the December average rate of 0.4982, the exchange rate registered a net change of -17.06% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.6284 was down 30.43% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.9033, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,142 SBD
2015 Average 4,266 SBD
Yearly Trough Low 2,435 SBD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 707.07 SBD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.6110
0.4880
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to SBD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5569, compared to 0.5178 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0391 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5569
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5178

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.0620 SBD (High: 0.5779 / Low: 0.5160). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0115 SBD (High: 0.5324 / Low: 0.5210).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0620
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0115

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0508 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0508

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 0.6007) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.8851), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2843 (-32.13%).

2016 Avg (January) 0.6007
2015 Avg (January) 0.8851

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.6284 0.5835 0.6007
February 0.5779 0.5160 0.5499
March 0.5468 0.5134 0.5350
April 0.5658 0.5368 0.5511
May 0.5606 0.5438 0.5523
June 0.5672 0.5123 0.5524
July 0.5415 0.5231 0.5298
August 0.5324 0.5210 0.5274
September 0.5267 0.5090 0.5193
October 0.5209 0.5091 0.5166
November 0.5245 0.5058 0.5158
December 0.5115 0.4870 0.4982