YEARLY HIGH
31.5076 SOS
YEARLY LOW
14.0047 SOS
YEARLY AVERAGE
22.1462 SOS

2018 ARS to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 31.5076. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 30, dropping to 14.0047.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 17.5029 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 30.5206 to the December average rate of 15.3430, the exchange rate registered a net change of -49.73% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 31.5076 was down 17.81% compared to the 2017 peak of 38.3365, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 157,538 SOS
2017 Average 175,381 SOS
Yearly Trough Low 70,024 SOS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 87,514.48 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

32.0714
13.4619
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 27.2256, compared to 17.0668 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 10.1589 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 27.2256
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 17.0668

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 6.2863 SOS (High: 21.2231 / Low: 14.9368). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.5436 SOS (High: 28.9999 / Low: 28.4563).

August Spread (Volatile) ±6.2863
March Spread (Stable) ±0.5436

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 4.4831 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -4.4831

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 30.5206) against the same month in 2017 (average: 36.3698), the exchange rate shifted by -5.8492 (-16.08%).

2018 Avg (January) 30.5206
2017 Avg (January) 36.3698

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 31.5076 29.5196 30.5206
February 29.9414 28.6924 29.2952
March 28.9999 28.4563 28.7380
April 28.8788 27.9018 28.5374
May 27.8706 23.0349 24.5595
June 23.2448 20.0083 21.7031
July 21.2608 19.9732 20.9425
August 21.2231 14.9368 19.4958
September 15.7090 14.0047 15.0127
October 16.1536 14.6536 15.6577
November 16.4240 14.8406 15.9486
December 15.8640 15.1084 15.3430