YEARLY HIGH
216.8104 UZS
YEARLY LOW
180.6447 UZS
YEARLY AVERAGE
201.1414 UZS

2016 ARS to UZS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ARS to UZS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 216.8104. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 29, dropping to 180.6447.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 36.1658 UZS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 207.7368 to the December average rate of 201.7510, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.88% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 216.8104 was down 24.39% compared to the 2015 peak of 286.7612, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,084,052 UZS
2015 Average 1,391,880 UZS
Yearly Trough Low 903,223 UZS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 180,828.83 UZS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

210.0576
190.4132
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to UZS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 201.4359, compared to 200.8469 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.5891 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 201.4359
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 200.8469

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 21.1347 UZS (High: 201.7794 / Low: 180.6447). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 4.0858 UZS (High: 199.9042 / Low: 195.8184).

February Spread (Volatile) ±21.1347
September Spread (Stable) ±4.0858

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 15.1700 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -15.1700

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 207.7368) against the same month in 2015 (average: 282.8927), the exchange rate shifted by -75.1559 (-26.57%).

2016 Avg (January) 207.7368
2015 Avg (January) 282.8927

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 216.8104 202.0634 207.7368
February 201.7794 180.6447 192.5668
March 198.0298 181.2121 192.0502
April 206.6088 194.7802 201.1016
May 210.9101 203.3058 206.7394
June 214.1686 193.8003 208.4206
July 202.6114 195.8385 198.6497
August 203.8625 198.5242 200.9278
September 199.9042 195.8184 198.1595
October 204.0575 195.5574 201.0302
November 208.6025 200.9993 204.5628
December 207.0243 199.1735 201.7510