YEARLY HIGH
46.0688 RUB
YEARLY LOW
32.2229 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
37.9246 RUB

2016 BAM to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the BAM to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 11, valuing the pair at 46.0688. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 32.2229.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 13.8459 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 42.5351 to the December average rate of 33.4176, the exchange rate registered a net change of -21.44% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 46.0688 was up 10.76% compared to the 2015 peak of 41.5949, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BAM based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 230,344 RUB
2015 Average 173,791 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 161,115 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 69,229.58 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

44.8882
32.3748
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BAM to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 40.0405, compared to 35.8088 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 4.2317 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 40.0405
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 35.8088

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 5.3329 RUB (High: 45.7575 / Low: 40.4246). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.4824 RUB (High: 37.6032 / Low: 36.1207).

January Spread (Volatile) ±5.3329
September Spread (Stable) ±1.4824

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 4.0705 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -4.0705

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 43.8454) against the same month in 2015 (average: 37.3152), the exchange rate shifted by +6.5302 (+17.50%).

2016 Avg (February) 43.8454
2015 Avg (February) 37.3152

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 45.7575 40.4246 42.5351
February 46.0688 41.9469 43.8454
March 41.0201 38.7649 39.7749
April 39.8857 37.5999 38.6043
May 39.1670 37.3789 38.0821
June 38.2350 36.2852 37.4013
July 37.7389 35.5668 36.4090
August 38.2149 36.6696 37.1463
September 37.6032 36.1207 36.9429
October 36.1176 34.5854 35.3248
November 36.5279 34.6574 35.6121
December 35.0067 32.2229 33.4176