YEARLY HIGH
52.4050 RSD
YEARLY LOW
47.2625 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
50.0927 RSD

2018 BBD to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BBD to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 27, valuing the pair at 52.4050. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 15, dropping to 47.2625.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.1425 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 48.6132 to the December average rate of 51.9791, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.92% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 52.4050 was down 11.56% compared to the 2017 peak of 59.2555, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BBD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 262,025 RSD
2017 Average 269,111 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 236,313 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 25,712.46 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

52.4406
47.5031
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BBD to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 48.8581, compared to 51.3273 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 2.4692 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 48.8581
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 51.3273

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 2.2514 RSD (High: 51.1789 / Low: 48.9275). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4579 RSD (High: 50.6668 / Low: 50.2089).

May Spread (Volatile) ±2.2514
July Spread (Stable) ±0.4579

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.6987 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6987

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2018: 52.0291) against the same month in 2017 (average: 50.5786), the exchange rate shifted by +1.4505 (+2.87%).

2018 Avg (November) 52.0291
2017 Avg (November) 50.5786

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 49.7501 47.7470 48.6132
February 48.4508 47.2625 47.9145
March 48.3590 47.5250 47.9247
April 48.9243 47.6850 48.1482
May 51.1789 48.9275 49.9812
June 51.0700 50.0277 50.5666
July 50.6668 50.2089 50.4713
August 52.0067 50.5087 51.1697
September 51.2080 50.1726 50.7652
October 52.2703 51.0202 51.5492
November 52.4050 51.6451 52.0291
December 52.3926 51.5854 51.9791