YEARLY HIGH
1.5128 RSD
YEARLY LOW
1.3605 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.4159 RSD

2016 BDT to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the BDT to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 20, valuing the pair at 1.5128. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 2, dropping to 1.3605.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1523 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.4376 to the December average rate of 1.4756, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.64% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.5128 was up 2.46% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.4764, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BDT based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,564 RSD
2015 Average 6,984 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 6,802 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 761.69 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.4850
1.3724
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BDT to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.4039, compared to 1.4280 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0241 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.4039
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.4280

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was December, with a trading range of 0.0733 RSD (High: 1.5128 / Low: 1.4395). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0117 RSD (High: 1.4074 / Low: 1.3957).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0733
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0117

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0302 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0302

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 1.4756) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.4278), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0478 (+3.35%).

2016 Avg (December) 1.4756
2015 Avg (December) 1.4278

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.4484 1.4235 1.4376
February 1.4403 1.3803 1.4079
March 1.4495 1.3781 1.4120
April 1.3970 1.3653 1.3818
May 1.4124 1.3605 1.3853
June 1.4326 1.3794 1.3984
July 1.4315 1.4099 1.4205
August 1.4160 1.3872 1.4020
September 1.4074 1.3957 1.4013
October 1.4441 1.3974 1.4224
November 1.4717 1.4088 1.4459
December 1.5128 1.4395 1.4756