YEARLY HIGH
11.0956 MDL
YEARLY LOW
10.1321 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
10.6725 MDL

2021 BGN to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the BGN to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 20, valuing the pair at 11.0956. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 7, dropping to 10.1321.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9634 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.7334 to the December average rate of 10.2449, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.55% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 11.0956 was up 2.94% compared to the 2020 peak of 10.7792, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 55,478 MDL
2020 Average 50,276 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 50,661 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,817.19 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

11.0588
10.1709
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 10.8541, compared to 10.4908 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3633 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 10.8541
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 10.4908

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was August, with a trading range of 0.3453 MDL (High: 10.8344 / Low: 10.4890). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1583 MDL (High: 10.9634 / Low: 10.8051).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.3453
July Spread (Stable) ±0.1583

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.2750 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2750

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2021: 10.9848) against the same month in 2020 (average: 9.8687), the exchange rate shifted by +1.1161 (+11.31%).

2021 Avg (May) 10.9848
2020 Avg (May) 9.8687

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 10.8704 10.6204 10.7334
February 10.8820 10.6494 10.7702
March 10.8369 10.6209 10.7652
April 11.0607 10.8323 10.9386
May 11.0956 10.8734 10.9848
June 11.0204 10.7790 10.9325
July 10.9634 10.8051 10.8773
August 10.8344 10.4890 10.6344
September 10.7071 10.3878 10.5963
October 10.4581 10.2061 10.3213
November 10.3846 10.1656 10.2705
December 10.3255 10.1321 10.2449