YEARLY HIGH
12723.7831 STD
YEARLY LOW
11911.4635 STD
YEARLY AVERAGE
12526.4106 STD

2016 BGN to STD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the BGN to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 4, valuing the pair at 12723.7831. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 24, dropping to 11911.4635.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 812.3196 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 12520.9005 to the December average rate of 12540.9275, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.16% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 12723.7831 was up 0.19% compared to the 2015 peak of 12699.4178, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 63,618,916 STD
2015 Average 62,613,405 STD
Yearly Trough Low 59,557,318 STD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,061,598.04 STD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

12575.9415
12493.7689
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 12526.9340, compared to 12525.8872 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.0468 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 12526.9340
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 12525.8872

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 738.0691 STD (High: 12649.5326 / Low: 11911.4635). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 101.9788 STD (High: 12575.1857 / Low: 12473.2070).

June Spread (Volatile) ±738.0691
September Spread (Stable) ±101.9788

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 42.2950 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -42.2950

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 12569.0938) against the same month in 2015 (average: 12533.8507), the exchange rate shifted by +35.2431 (+0.28%).

2016 Avg (February) 12569.0938
2015 Avg (February) 12533.8507

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 12590.3183 12464.1034 12520.9005
February 12723.7831 12478.0816 12569.0938
March 12709.4691 12500.5282 12547.5631
April 12557.0474 12366.3351 12505.2682
May 12551.3050 12441.1187 12500.6166
June 12649.5326 11911.4635 12518.1619
July 12589.9689 12456.0608 12524.3996
August 12592.5060 12429.3662 12524.6895
September 12575.1857 12473.2070 12525.4756
October 12588.8520 12383.4116 12518.7723
November 12610.6788 12430.9610 12521.0588
December 12617.9920 12470.4599 12540.9275