YEARLY HIGH
15.3637 UAH
YEARLY LOW
12.9145 UAH
YEARLY AVERAGE
14.4626 UAH

2016 BGN to UAH Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the BGN to UAH exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 8, valuing the pair at 15.3637. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 12, dropping to 12.9145.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.4492 UAH. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 13.5088 to the December average rate of 14.1592, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.81% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 15.3637 was down 7.10% compared to the 2015 peak of 16.5381, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 76,819 UAH
2015 Average 61,844 UAH
Yearly Trough Low 64,572 UAH
Transaction Impact: A difference of 12,246.06 UAH purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

15.1931
13.3557
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to UAH Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 14.5332, compared to 14.3920 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1412 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 14.5332
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 14.3920

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 1.3156 UAH (High: 14.2301 / Low: 12.9145). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2208 UAH (High: 14.1569 / Low: 13.9361).

January Spread (Volatile) ±1.3156
July Spread (Stable) ±0.2208

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.5306 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5306

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2016: 15.0400) against the same month in 2015 (average: 12.5281), the exchange rate shifted by +2.5119 (+20.05%).

2016 Avg (September) 15.0400
2015 Avg (September) 12.5281

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 14.2301 12.9145 13.5088
February 15.3511 14.2276 15.0294
March 15.3433 14.4310 14.9423
April 15.2199 14.5514 14.8184
May 14.8064 14.2926 14.5695
June 14.5248 14.0169 14.3306
July 14.1569 13.9361 14.0492
August 14.8797 14.0688 14.4030
September 15.3637 14.7266 15.0400
October 14.8599 14.2503 14.5094
November 14.5370 13.8327 14.1913
December 14.6693 13.9367 14.1592