YEARLY HIGH
100.1649 RSD
YEARLY LOW
83.0140 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
88.4379 RSD

2014 BMD to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the BMD to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 31, valuing the pair at 100.1649. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 6, dropping to 83.0140.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 17.1508 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 84.7287 to the December average rate of 98.7247, the exchange rate registered a net change of 16.52% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 100.1649 was up 12.60% compared to the 2013 peak of 88.9573, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 500,824 RSD
2013 Average 425,752 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 415,070 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 85,754.20 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

100.2299
82.1665
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BMD to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 84.3512, compared to 92.5245 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 8.1733 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 84.3512
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 92.5245

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was September, with a trading range of 3.9816 RSD (High: 93.7407 / Low: 89.7590). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.6379 RSD (High: 85.2759 / Low: 84.6380).

September Spread (Volatile) ±3.9816
June Spread (Stable) ±0.6379

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 1.1542 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.1542

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 98.7247) against the same month in 2013 (average: 83.7394), the exchange rate shifted by +14.9853 (+17.90%).

2014 Avg (December) 98.7247
2013 Avg (December) 83.7394

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 85.7969 83.2826 84.7287
February 85.9056 84.1020 84.8545
March 84.4390 83.1666 83.7004
April 84.2808 83.1981 83.6718
May 85.0222 83.0140 84.2093
June 85.2759 84.6380 84.9426
July 87.2745 84.6709 85.8546
August 89.7741 87.0507 88.1650
September 93.7407 89.7590 92.0606
October 95.0520 93.3419 94.1478
November 97.0028 94.9034 96.1944
December 100.1649 96.8215 98.7247