YEARLY HIGH
6.1808 MOP
YEARLY LOW
5.1006 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.7571 MOP

2018 BND to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BND to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 27, valuing the pair at 6.1808. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 4, dropping to 5.1006.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.0801 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.0927 to the December average rate of 5.1371, the exchange rate registered a net change of -15.68% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 6.1808 was up 2.57% compared to the 2017 peak of 6.0258, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BND based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 30,904 MOP
2017 Average 29,075 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 25,503 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,400.64 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

6.2396
5.0369
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BND to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.0180, compared to 5.4962 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.5217 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.0180
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.4962

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was December, with a trading range of 0.7748 MOP (High: 5.8754 / Low: 5.1006). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0960 MOP (High: 6.1476 / Low: 6.0517).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.7748
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0960

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.4262 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4262

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2018: 6.1387) against the same month in 2017 (average: 5.6869), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4518 (+7.95%).

2018 Avg (March) 6.1387
2017 Avg (March) 5.6869

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.1754 6.0116 6.0927
February 6.1476 6.0517 6.1050
March 6.1808 6.0740 6.1387
April 6.1791 6.0448 6.1394
May 6.1171 5.5439 5.9848
June 6.1198 5.3485 5.6471
July 6.0166 5.3465 5.7102
August 5.9050 5.3314 5.3680
September 5.8995 5.3216 5.4676
October 5.8378 5.7050 5.7311
November 5.8627 5.1102 5.5633
December 5.8754 5.1006 5.1371