YEARLY HIGH
2557.1168 UGX
YEARLY LOW
2369.1203 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
2475.5282 UGX

2016 BND to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the BND to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 7, valuing the pair at 2557.1168. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 6, dropping to 2369.1203.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 187.9965 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2406.9728 to the December average rate of 2507.1693, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.16% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 2557.1168 was down 3.79% compared to the 2015 peak of 2657.9424, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BND based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 12,785,584 UGX
2015 Average 11,769,276 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 11,845,601 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 939,982.59 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

2535.2557
2395.3107
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BND to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2450.1403, compared to 2500.9161 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 50.7758 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2450.1403
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2500.9161

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 108.2819 UGX (High: 2494.8493 / Low: 2386.5674). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 22.4987 UGX (High: 2491.9998 / Low: 2469.5011).

March Spread (Volatile) ±108.2819
October Spread (Stable) ±22.4987

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 33.6373 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -33.6373

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 2507.1693) against the same month in 2015 (average: 2388.7535), the exchange rate shifted by +118.4157 (+4.96%).

2016 Avg (December) 2507.1693
2015 Avg (December) 2388.7535

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2438.1076 2369.1203 2406.9728
February 2484.2393 2387.8819 2441.0483
March 2494.8493 2386.5674 2451.1299
April 2497.9153 2447.1629 2475.7244
May 2473.9672 2423.2918 2442.0871
June 2529.2454 2440.4104 2483.8793
July 2530.4768 2481.7049 2503.3720
August 2522.9296 2477.0164 2502.5408
September 2506.9297 2472.1548 2487.7162
October 2491.9998 2469.5011 2481.1048
November 2548.2115 2494.3823 2523.5936
December 2557.1168 2461.6561 2507.1693