YEARLY HIGH
293214880.1461 UGX
YEARLY LOW
3457.9491 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
128604968.3242 UGX

2026 BTC to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the BTC to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 2, valuing the pair at 293214880.1461. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 21, dropping to 3457.9491.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 293211422.1970 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3568.7811 to the December average rate of 236193602.6946, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6618227.03% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 293214880.1461 was up 7840702.76% compared to the 2025 peak of 3739.6028, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTC based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,466,074,400,730 UGX
2025 Average 18,007,862 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 17,289,745 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,466,057,110,984.88 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

308923169.1888
-28080035.4250
JanuMarcMayJuly

BTC to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 92809248.6815, compared to 235992127.2520 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 143182878.5705 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 92809248.6815
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 235992127.2520

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was April, with a trading range of 287923392.9586 UGX (High: 287927073.4734 / Low: 3680.5148). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 74.5727 UGX (High: 3603.6870 / Low: 3529.1144).

April Spread (Volatile) ±287923392.9586
February Spread (Stable) ±74.5727

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 45613507.6236 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -45613507.6236

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2026: 280839568.8043) against the same month in 2025 (average: 3656.4808), the exchange rate shifted by +280835912.3236 (+7680497.43%).

2026 Avg (May) 280839568.8043
2025 Avg (May) 3656.4808

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3626.2966 3457.9491 3568.7811
February 3603.6870 3529.1144 3564.9595
March 3781.3513 3599.1395 3728.7191
April 287927073.4734 3680.5148 40778999.6445
May 293214880.1461 277200491.3466 280839568.8043
June 277674170.4977 216337078.6985 235226061.1807
July 245801194.0478 217145160.9557 235790651.8094
August 236752676.4528 235866622.1701 236193602.6946