YEARLY HIGH
0.3409 HNL
YEARLY LOW
0.3182 HNL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.3264 HNL

2021 BTN to HNL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the BTN to HNL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 6, valuing the pair at 0.3409. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 15, dropping to 0.3182.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0227 HNL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3316 to the December average rate of 0.3225, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.76% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 0.3409 was down 4.63% compared to the 2020 peak of 0.3574, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,704 HNL
2020 Average 1,670 HNL
Yearly Trough Low 1,591 HNL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 113.38 HNL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

0.3348
0.3193
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BTN to HNL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3297, compared to 0.3231 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0066 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3297
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3231

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was January, with a trading range of 0.0120 HNL (High: 0.3409 / Low: 0.3289). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0044 HNL (High: 0.3227 / Low: 0.3183).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0120
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0044

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0089 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0089

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 0.3316) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.3480), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0163 (-4.70%).

2021 Avg (January) 0.3316
2020 Avg (January) 0.3480

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.3409 0.3289 0.3316
February 0.3363 0.3293 0.3335
March 0.3353 0.3281 0.3331
April 0.3296 0.3197 0.3241
May 0.3323 0.3243 0.3291
June 0.3309 0.3218 0.3270
July 0.3227 0.3183 0.3206
August 0.3272 0.3189 0.3207
September 0.3299 0.3251 0.3277
October 0.3262 0.3196 0.3227
November 0.3267 0.3217 0.3246
December 0.3283 0.3182 0.3225