YEARLY HIGH
4.1328 HUF
YEARLY LOW
3.7719 HUF
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.9539 HUF

2018 BTN to HUF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BTN to HUF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 28, valuing the pair at 4.1328. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 15, dropping to 3.7719.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3609 HUF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.9823 to the December average rate of 4.0148, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.82% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 4.1328 was down 9.67% compared to the 2017 peak of 4.5751, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 20,664 HUF
2017 Average 21,063 HUF
Yearly Trough Low 18,859 HUF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,804.29 HUF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

4.1045
3.8071
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BTN to HUF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.9530, compared to 3.9547 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0017 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.9530
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.9547

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.2567 HUF (High: 4.1056 / Low: 3.8489). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0509 HUF (High: 3.9214 / Low: 3.8705).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.2567
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0509

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.1544 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1544

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 4.0797) against the same month in 2017 (average: 4.2599), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1802 (-4.23%).

2018 Avg (June) 4.0797
2017 Avg (June) 4.2599

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.0741 3.9159 3.9823
February 3.9632 3.8741 3.9219
March 3.9214 3.8705 3.8940
April 3.9154 3.8224 3.8684
May 4.0957 3.9148 3.9718
June 4.1328 4.0151 4.0797
July 4.1236 3.9937 4.0413
August 4.1201 3.9377 4.0239
September 3.9681 3.7887 3.8695
October 3.8940 3.7719 3.8319
November 4.1056 3.8489 3.9466
December 4.0874 3.9443 4.0148