YEARLY HIGH
208.1110 IDR
YEARLY LOW
194.1428 IDR
YEARLY AVERAGE
200.9294 IDR

2019 BTN to IDR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the BTN to IDR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 23, valuing the pair at 208.1110. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 17, dropping to 194.1428.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 13.9681 IDR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 200.4094 to the December average rate of 196.5496, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.93% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 208.1110 was down 2.29% compared to the 2018 peak of 212.9904, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,040,555 IDR
2018 Average 1,036,626 IDR
Yearly Trough Low 970,714 IDR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 69,840.61 IDR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

206.7941
195.6183
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BTN to IDR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 202.7552, compared to 199.1037 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 3.6514 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 202.7552
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 199.1037

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 10.5838 IDR (High: 206.3654 / Low: 195.7816). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.9170 IDR (High: 206.3026 / Low: 203.3856).

January Spread (Volatile) ±10.5838
June Spread (Stable) ±2.9170

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 3.5829 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -3.5829

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2019: 204.6464) against the same month in 2018 (average: 211.6110), the exchange rate shifted by -6.9645 (-3.29%).

2019 Avg (March) 204.6464
2018 Avg (March) 211.6110

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 206.3654 195.7816 200.4094
February 201.4028 194.4952 197.3013
March 208.1110 199.2736 204.6464
April 206.6797 201.6818 203.4213
May 208.0503 203.1835 205.8628
June 206.3026 203.3856 204.8897
July 206.8143 202.3696 204.1970
August 205.7861 195.2430 200.6141
September 201.0020 194.1428 197.8526
October 200.1948 197.2760 198.6460
November 198.7842 195.3720 196.7631
December 197.5480 194.5231 196.5496