YEARLY HIGH
1.2092 RUB
YEARLY LOW
0.8874 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.9974 RUB

2016 BTN to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the BTN to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 21, valuing the pair at 1.2092. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 0.8874.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3218 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.1380 to the December average rate of 0.9141, the exchange rate registered a net change of -19.67% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.2092 was up 7.19% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.1281, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,046 RUB
2015 Average 4,771 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 4,437 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,609.25 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.1604
0.8917
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BTN to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0445, compared to 0.9502 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0943 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0445
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9502

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.1107 RUB (High: 1.2092 / Low: 1.0986). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0166 RUB (High: 0.9473 / Low: 0.9307).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.1107
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0166

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0876 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0876

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 1.1380) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.0305), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1074 (+10.42%).

2016 Avg (January) 1.1380
2015 Avg (January) 1.0305

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.2092 1.0986 1.1380
February 1.1687 1.0997 1.1314
March 1.0860 1.0132 1.0438
April 1.0332 0.9750 1.0018
May 1.0013 0.9720 0.9851
June 0.9938 0.9438 0.9671
July 0.9915 0.9372 0.9577
August 1.0000 0.9528 0.9694
September 0.9822 0.9426 0.9659
October 0.9473 0.9307 0.9387
November 0.9830 0.9362 0.9556
December 0.9406 0.8874 0.9141