YEARLY HIGH
47.6754 UGX
YEARLY LOW
42.8348 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
44.9163 UGX

2024 BTN to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2024

During 2024, the BTN to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 26, valuing the pair at 47.6754. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 18, dropping to 42.8348.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.8406 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 45.7757 to the December average rate of 43.1295, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.78% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2024 high of 47.6754 was up 3.04% compared to the 2023 peak of 46.2696, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 238,377 UGX
2023 Average 225,546 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 214,174 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 24,202.95 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2024.

47.3141
42.7490
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BTN to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 45.9305, compared to 43.9021 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.0284 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 45.9305
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 43.9021

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2024 was February, with a trading range of 1.7360 UGX (High: 47.6754 / Low: 45.9393). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2496 UGX (High: 43.7982 / Low: 43.5485).

February Spread (Volatile) ±1.7360
October Spread (Stable) ±0.2496

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 1.1036 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.1036

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2024: 46.6592) against the same month in 2023 (average: 44.6395), the exchange rate shifted by +2.0197 (+4.52%).

2024 Avg (February) 46.6592
2023 Avg (February) 44.6395

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 45.9942 45.0938 45.7757
February 47.6754 45.9393 46.6592
March 47.4557 46.5301 46.9337
April 46.6420 45.5809 45.8301
May 45.9571 44.9398 45.4383
June 45.9069 44.3541 44.9462
July 44.6422 44.1169 44.3324
August 44.5991 44.2194 44.3879
September 44.4542 44.1190 44.2785
October 43.7982 43.5485 43.6662
November 43.9534 43.3834 43.6180
December 43.6293 42.8348 43.1295